Young Writers Society

Been watching the media spin.

Betting we go in and intervene. Betting Obama uses same justification as Bush senior, only it goes over smooth cause he's centrist and black.

Other possibilities include Israel getting involved, dragging us in, as well as most of the Middle East.

Or the whole thing gets supressed.

Or the revolution succeeds independent of intervention.

Curious to hear peoples general guess about stuff. Please though... I do not care about morals, what should be or shouldn't be, only interested in the probability.

What exactly do you mean? Your post is so open-ended as to be absolutely meaningless. You seem to be either talking about the nuclear situation, the elections, or just something else entirely.

But in regards to Iran in general, not much will probably be done. Israel wants to knock out the nuclear facilities before Iran is able to build a bomb, but is unlikely to do so unless it gets the green light from the US. Yet, that's unlikely to happen anytime soon. The Bush administration never gave Israel the green light, and the Obama administration is even more unlikely to do so.

As it regards the nuclear situation and the elections, what many people overlook is that Mousavi also wants a nuclear Iran. To most Iranians, it's viewed as a birth-right.

As it regards just the elections, it's pretty plain the rest of the world is content to just sit on the sidelines, which is maybe as it should be. At this point especially, outside interference would do more harm than good.

Edit

Regarding the chances of Iran actually building nuclear weapons, there's been a couple of interesting articles lately quoting intelligence officials as saying Iran will have that capability by the end of the year. Yet, they also say Iran is unlikely to actually build one for at least a few more years.