Young Writers Society

Hey guys!

I read about this in a book, and I decided to do some research on it. It is very fascinating, and I thought it might spark some good debate. If you are familiar with the Monty Hall Problem, you'll know the answer, otherwise, make your point and argue it.

Suppose you are on a game show. This game show has three doors on a stage, behind two of them are goats, behind the third is a brand new Ferrari. Or Lamborghini, or Porsche. Whatever it is you like.

You pick a door. The host then reveals that the door next to yours has a goat behind it. Then he gives you the option to change doors. The question is, do you stay, or do you change? And why?

No cheating and looking up the Monty Hall problem!

Goat! Goat! I want the goat! Do cars produce milk and wool and eat your weeds for you? No! Cars are annoyingly and expensively specific about what you feed them.

Vote goat!

I love this little puzzle! Even when you know the answer, you can't help thinking it shouldn't work.

You change doors. You then have a better chance of winning.

I actually saw this on the TV show, Mythbusters. They proved that if you changed doors, you have a better chance at winning.

Goat! Goat! I want the goat! Do cars produce milk and wool and eat your weeds for you? No! Cars are annoyingly and expensively specific about what you feed them.

Then can't you just wish for the 3rd door to have a goat? And then you have a 100% chance of getting what you want

As for the monty hall problem it's kind of obvious right? First you have 1/3 chance of getting what you want. And since you established that you can change your door, you now have 1/2 chance of getting what you want. So yeah...

Unless there's something I'm missing?